The town has escaped flooding.
Crucially, the ice blocks did not dam the river,
it's running free.
And the date of the break-up, the 6th May.
Red's got it right again.
I don't use any of these here
gauges and mechanical assistance,
I just go by what I see on the river as I walk it down.
And I say I walk it down,
I back and forth every day on the river
to see what's happening,
and from that, I gauge when it's going to hit here
and what the situation is going to be like
when it does get here.
You know, when it went this morning,
I said to my students, "Guess what the date is?"
Red told us it was the 6th May and we were,
you know, I'm not surprised,
because we've been here a couple of times
and that's happened.
Ten days, two weeks ago and he just looks around
and goes "6th May."
How does he know that?
It's because he just has lived on this river
and lived this break-up for 50 years.
Ice scientists are improving
the accuracy of their predictions all the time,
but in the meantime,
the people of Hay River
have a remarkable guardian.